The Link between Emission Cuts, Right to Development and Transformation of Capitalist System
Humanity is running out of time. If there are no deep and real cuts in the next five years the impacts of climate change will lead to a situation ten times worse than what we have seen with hurricane Sandy and other climate change related events in India, Russia, Philippines and Africa in this past year.
That’s what happens with 0.8ºC of global warming, and the current climate negotiations are leading us to a 4ºC to 8ºC scenario.
More than two-thirds of coal, oil and gas should be left under the soil
Different studies say that to limit the increase in temperature to 2ºC, all countries can only emit 565 gigatons of CO2 between 2010 and 2050. At the current rate of 31 gigatons of global CO2 emissions per year, we are going to expend that budget in 15 years.
According to the International Energy Agency, two-thirds of the known reserves of the world’s coal, oil and gas should remain underground to have 50 percent chance of staying below the 2ºC limit. If we want 75 percent chance, we have to leave 80 percent of these reserves under the soil.
To not surpass the limit of 565 gigatons of CO2 until 2050, less than 200 gigatons of CO2 can be sent to the atmosphere from 2010 until 2020. Given this calculation, it is unacceptable and illogical to have a “new” agreement that will only be implemented in 2020, while during this decade, when deep cuts are needed, there will be a “laissez faire” situation in emission reductions with a Kyoto Protocol that is much weaker and has shrunk. Continue reading
Filed under: Direitos, Ecologia, Economia, Mundo, Outra política | Marcado: agroecologia, aquecimento global, consumismo, direitos da natureza, Focus on the Global South, mudancas climaticas, Pablo Solon, transportes publicos | Leave a comment »